On Thursday, stocks rose across the board as U.S. Treasury yields dropped to two-week lows. Copper, meanwhile, fell to a 16-month low as investors fretted about a potential slowdown in the world economy.
Investors have been weighing the risk of hefty interest rate rises tipping economies into recession. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before Congress for a second day, a day after saying the Fed is committed to cutting inflation at all costs, and acknowledged a recession was “certainly a possibility.”
With a gain of more than 1.6 percent, the Nasdaq was the market leader on Wall Street. As investors continued to fret about a future recession, defensive stocks and technology firms like Apple Inc handed the S&P 500 its biggest boost.
“What we’re seeing here is a (stock) market trying to absorb the Fed’s tightening and basically trying to put in a low in a bear market,” said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York.
Gauges of factory activity released on Thursday in Japan, Britain, the euro zone and United States all softened in June, with U.S. producers reporting the first outright drop in new orders in two years.
“We have yields that are coming down, and so that’s helping stocks,” he said. “For now, the market has probably discounted somewhat of a mild recession.”
Manufacturing growth is slowing worldwide partly because China’s COVID-19 curbs and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have disrupted supply chains and added to inflation problems.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 194.23 points, or 0.64%, to 30,677.36, the S&P 500 gained 35.84 points, or 0.95%, to 3,795.73 and the Nasdaq Composite added 179.11 points, or 1.62%, to 11,232.19.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index lost 0.82% and MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe gained 0.43%. In the U.S. bond market, yields fell, partly on a growing belief that yields may have topped for the near term even if inflation stays high. Yields have dropped from their highest level in more than a decade, reached before last week’s Fed meeting, when the U.S. central bank hiked rates by 75 basis points, the biggest increase since 1994.
Benchmark U.S. 10-year yields fell to 3.005%, before rebounding to 3.070%. They have dropped from 3.498% on June 14, the highest since April 2011. Copper prices slumped as rising interest rates and weak economic data fed worries about demand. Copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) hit its lowest level since February 2021. In the foreign exchange market, the euro slid across the board following the weaker-than-expected German and French PMI data.
Against the dollar, the euro declined 0.5% to $1.0509. It earlier declined below a key $1.05 level for the third time this week. The euro also declined 1.4% versus the Japanese currency to 141.85 yen. Oil prices ended lower as investors weighed the risk of a recession. Brent crude futures fell $1.69 to settle at $110.05 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures dropped $1.92 to settle at $104.27.
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