Colombia’s economic growth estimated at 7.5% in Q1

Global equity funds are seeing large outflows due to fears of a slowdown

Colombia’s economy might have developed by 7.5% in the first quarter of 2022 versus the year-sooner period, mostly supported by domestic consumption, however this will start to moderate in the midst of inflationary pressures, a Reuters survey uncovered on Friday. Gauges from 13 analysts for financial development fluctuated  between 6% and 8.30% in the three months ended March 31. On the off chance that development is in accordance with the survey’s median forecast of 7.5%, Latin America’s fourth-biggest economy will have extended at a more slow rate than in the earlier quarter ending Dec. 31, when growth hit 10.8%.

“However, looking ahead to the following quarters, the rise in inflation, tighter financial conditions abroad and the increase in the monetary policy rate would lead growth to gradually moderate,” he added.

“The good dynamics of domestic demand, the high terms of trade and expansionary monetary policy could have contributed to growth during the first three months of 2022,” David Cubides, director of economic research at stock brokerage Alianza, said.

The analysts also forecast that the Andean country’s gross domestic product will expand by 5.25% this year, before growth slows to 3% in 2023.

The forecast cooling is partly explained by Colombia’s central bank opting to hike its benchmark interest rate, which it has raised by a total of 425 basis points since September last year, to 6%, its highest level since May 2017.

Last year Colombia’s economy grew by a historic 10.6%, versus a weak comparative period in 2020.

The interest rate rises come as a move to tackle runaway inflation, which hit 9.23% in the 12 months to April, which is far from the bank’s target of 3%.

An average of analysts’ estimates forecasts the central bank will raise interest rates up to 8.5% by the end of this year.

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