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A new online poll predicts a tighter presidential race in Brazil

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News Tech: BRASILIA, Aug 25 (Reuters) – A new poll using data collected from the internet predicted on Thursday a narrowing presidential race in Brazil, with leftist front-runner Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva just 8.4 percentage points ahead of far-right incumbent Jair Bolsonaro.

Datafolha has Lula ahead by 15 points, although his lead has narrowed from 26 in December. IPEC, ex IBOPE, gives Lula a 12-point lead.

Lula has 46.7% of voter support versus 38.3% for Bolsonaro for the October election, AtlasIntel online polling firm said, which is a smaller lead than shown by other major polls.

According to AtlasIntel’s data, the gap has narrowed progressively from 18 points in March to 10 points in July.

The survey of 7,475 voters was done with AtlasIntel’s random digital recruitment tool, using ads to invite internet users to answer data-secure questionnaires. Samples are then calibrated with demographic indicators, the polling firm’s chief executive Andrei Roman said.

Web data collection was done between Aug. 20 and Aug. 24. AtlasIntel says its poll has a margin of error of 1 percentage point. RegisterReporting by Anthony Boadle, Editing by Rosalba O’Brien

Source: Reuters Trust Principles.

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